Factors that affect mutual fund performance-Drivers of Returns and Risk in mutual fund Scheme
Factors Affecting Mutual Fund Performance:
KeyEconomic Factors:-
EconomicInflationFactors:& Interest Rates:(DetailedHighpreviouslyinflation-canGDPerodegrowth,realinflation,returns, while rising interestrates,ratesemployment,canetc.)negatively impact debt funds. -
CompanyGDPPerformance:Growth & Economic Cycles:(DetailedStrongpreviouslyeconomic-growthFinancialgenerallyhealth,benefitsprofitability,equitygrowth,funds,creditworthiness)while downturns may favor defensive sectors or debt funds. -
MarketGovernmentSentiment:Policies & Regulations: Changes in tax laws, monetary policies, and industry regulations impact investment returns.
2. Company Performance (
DetailedForpreviouslyEquity-Oriented-Funds)Investor- The
marketfinancialmood)health, revenue growth, and profitability of companies in a fund's portfolio directly impact returns. - Sectoral performance matters—e.g., tech funds perform well when the tech industry is booming.
psychology,3. Market Sentiment
- Investor confidence, global economic trends, and geopolitical events influence stock and bond markets.
- Market volatility can cause short-term fluctuations in fund performance.
4. Fund Manager
Expertise:Expertise(Detailed- A
-skilledStock/bondfundselection,managerassetcanallocation,identifyriskgrowth opportunities, manage risks, and time market cycles effectively. - Active management
skills)plays a crucial role in beating benchmarks.
previously5. Expense Ratio (
TER):(Detailed previouslyTER -ImpactTotalofExpense Ratio)- Higher TER
onreduces netreturns)returns since it includes management fees, administrative expenses, and distribution costs. - Investors should compare TER across similar funds to ensure cost-efficiency.
6. Investment Objective and
Strategy:Strategy- The fund’s goal (
Detailedgrowth,previouslyincome,-balanced)Strategydeterminesexecutionassetvs.allocationobjective)and risk levels. - Aggressive equity funds focus on capital appreciation, while debt funds prioritize stability.
7. Fund Manager's Expertise & Active
Management:Management-
Active Funds:
TheRelyskill of theon fundmanager in active management is crucial. Active management aimsmanagers tooutperformpickthestocks/bondsbenchmarkforthroughhigherstockreturns. -
andPassive Funds (Index Funds, ETFs): Track markettiming.indices
selection-
1.
Drivers of Returns and Risk in Mutual Fund Schemes
-
Returns are driven by:
- Asset Allocation: The mix of asset classes (equity, debt, gold, etc.) in a portfolio is a primary driver of long-term returns. Equity generally offers higher potential returns but comes with higher volatility.
- Security Selection: Within each asset class, the specific securities chosen by the fund manager (stocks, bonds) significantly impact returns.
- Market Movements: Overall market trends (bull or bear markets) have a major influence on fund performance.
- Active Management (if applicable): Skillful active management can potentially generate returns above the benchmark.
-
Risk is driven by:
- Asset Class Volatility: Equity is generally more volatile than debt. The proportion of equity in a scheme significantly impacts overall risk.
- Market Volatility: Periods of high market volatility increase risk across most asset classes.
- Credit Quality (for Debt Funds): Lower credit quality bonds carry higher credit risk.
- Interest Rate Sensitivity (for Debt Funds): Funds with longer duration are more sensitive to interest rate changes.
- Concentration Risk: Lack of diversification (e.g., sector funds, thematic funds) increases risk.
- Expense Ratio: While TER doesn't drive market risk, it certainly impacts the net return and therefore the risk-adjusted return for the investor.