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Bottom-Line:Valuation Analysis
(All figures in US$, unless otherwise noted)
RapidPhonePe FY24 Financials
Consolidated revenue accelerationof โน5,064 Cr (+74%US YoY)$612 well outpaces expense growth (+31%)M), driving+73.8% dramatic margin improvement.YoY
Balance-sheetNet conservatismloss narrowed to โน1,996 Cr (veryUS strong$241 current ratio, modest leverage) funds continued investment while preserving liquidity.M)
Adjusted profitability in FY 24PAT (ex-ESOP) signalsof thatโน197 unitCr economics(US are$24 approaching break-even on a cash-profit basis.M)
ContinuedDiscounted focusCash onFlow scaling new financial-services offerings and merchant solutions should drive further margin expansion over FY 25โ26.(DCF)
ThisAssumptions:
Revenue profilegrowth: underscores50%โ40%โ30%โ25%โ20% why(FY25โFY29)
FCF havemargins valuedramping to 15% by FY29
WACC = 12%, terminal growth = 4%
Implied EV โ $3.3 B
Public Comps (EV/Revenue)
One97 Communications (Paytm) EV โ โน425 B / Revenue โน99.8 B โ 4.3ร
Global Fintech median EV/Rev โ 5.7ร (Q4 2024)
Implied EV range (4.3โ5.7ร) ร PhonePe atFY24 arev substantialโ premium$2.6 (Bโ$3.5 B
Precedent Transactions
General Atlantic growth round: $12 B pre-money invaluation (Jan 2023) despite ongoing net-loss accountingโand why the path to standalone profitability is now clearly in view.
Typical Fintech M&A EV/Rev: 6โ8ร
Implied EV (6โ8ร) ร FY24 rev โ $3.7 Bโ$4.9 B